Will SA See a Wealth Tax in Next Week’s Budget?

Whenever I’m asked about a tax topic at the gym, I know it’s time to write an article on it and over the last few months I’ve been asked three times mid-sweat whether I think South Africa will bring in a wealth tax. So here we go, let’s dive in, what is a wealth tax anyway, is it ever a good idea and could one be coming to SA?

What is wealth tax anyway?

A wealth tax is exactly what it says on the tin, a tax on your net wealth rather than your income or profits. It’s typically an annual levy on the total value of your assets, including property, shares, savings, and even that dusty collection of vintage wine you’re hoarding for retirement. Unlike income tax, which targets what you earn, or capital gains tax, which targets what you realise or sell, a wealth tax goes after what you own, whether you’re making money from it or not.
Wealth taxes can be applied on an individual or family basis, usually with some sort of exemption threshold to avoid hammering the middle class. The rates tend to look low on paper – often 1% or 2% – but given that they apply to your entire net worth, they can feel pretty hefty in practice.

Why would anyone introduce a wealth tax?

The appeal of a wealth tax is simple: tax the rich to reduce inequality and raise revenue. In highly unequal societies like South Africa, where the top 1% owns more than half the country’s wealth, it’s an understandably popular idea in political circles.

On paper, wealth taxes could:

  • Generate additional revenue for stretched government budgets
  • Narrow the wealth gap between rich and poor
  • Encourage the ultra-wealthy to put their assets to productive use rather than simply hoarding them

But as with most things in tax, the devil is in the details, and wealth taxes are notoriously tricky to design and enforce.

Do wealth taxes actually work?

The global evidence is underwhelming.  At one point, 12 European countries had some form of wealth tax. Today, only three remain, in Norway, Spain, and Switzerland. Most countries scrapped their wealth taxes because they ended up raising far less revenue than expected, while creating a mass exodus of wealthy taxpayers (and their capital) to friendlier shores.

The main challenges were as follows:

  • Valuation headaches: How do you fairly value illiquid assets like private businesses, art, or property?
  • Flight risk: Wealthy individuals are often highly mobile, and not afraid to pack their bags.
  • High admin costs: Wealth taxes tend to be eye-wateringly expensive to administer relative to the revenue they generate.
  • Double taxation: Wealth taxes feel particularly unfair when combined with existing taxes on income, dividends, and capital gains.

So the end result in most countries that introduced a wealth tax was lots of political noise but not much cash in the bank.

Could a wealth tax work in South Africa?

Well… maybe. But the odds aren’t great.  South Africa is already one of the most highly taxed countries in the world for high-net-worth individuals, with income tax rates at 45%, capital gains tax at 18%, and estate duty at 20%. Adding an annual wealth tax on top would be politically popular, but it would likely drive even more capital out of the country, particularly to low-tax jurisdictions like Mauritius and Dubai.
There’s also the small matter of administrative capacity. SARS has been making great strides in recent years, but valuing every luxury home, family trust, or private business in the country would require resources the tax authority simply doesn’t have.

Could it happen?

The idea of a wealth tax in South Africa has been kicking around for years, but the noise has been getting louder lately. In 2021, the Davis Tax Committee issued a report recommending the introduction of a temporary wealth tax to help fund Covid-19 recovery. And with South Africa’s public finances in increasingly dire straits, the idea could easily find its way onto the policy agenda.
That said, don’t expect anything overnight. South Africa already has some stealth wealth taxes baked into the system, from estate duty to donations tax to capital gains tax, so a full-blown annual wealth tax would be more of a political signal than a revenue-raising silver bullet.

The bottom line

Wealth taxes sound great in theory but have a terrible track record in practice. While South Africa’s inequality crisis makes the idea tempting, the risks of capital flight, administrative complexity, and unintended economic consequences are very real.  If you’re a wealthy South African, should you be worried? Not just yet, but keep an eye open.  In the meantime, the best defence is a robust, future-proof wealth structure, preferably in a tax-efficient jurisdiction (hello, Mauritius!). If you’d like to chat about how to protect your hard-earned wealth from whatever new taxes the world dreams up next, get in touch with us at Regan van Rooy, we’re always happy to help navigate the shifting sands of tax policy, without the doom and gloom.

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